Maybe next decade, doubt it will be the next 2 years.
this post was submitted on 18 Jan 2025
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I assume the time span was because of a certain penis potato. Sorry, I mean dictator.
1 to 2 years no. Next decade sure. The super powers are isolating themselves as their economies become less entwined I expect something to happen.
WW3 began in 2022
Very likely, yes.
When Trump was elected again I spent about 3 weeks living with an existential dread I've never in my life felt before.
Whenever it happens, it is coming.
You are probably overexaggerating.
There are increased conflicts over the world but no signs of a world war.
First there are no willing candidates for it. Not even Russia which is engaged in a war is willing to make the push to engage NATO, which is the closest to a world war we would get.
Neither is Iran willing to go into war which was very obvious after their actions when Israel made ample opportunities for them to escalate conflict.
And for China.. well war is bad for business, and China really likes doing business.
However the US with Trump at the helm. π€· Who the fuck knows. Maybe not world war but I am adding military occupation of Panama and Greenland to my bingo just in case.
...i think the early stages will be fuzzy over the next four years but the `states will be fully engaged within six...
It already started.
I am personally looking for a few things that will concern me about escalation:
-
Japan and Finland making active land claims to Russia (actively reoccupying disputed land with troops)
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Europe putting peace keepers in Western Ukraine (which will create a casus belli for war with Russia), specifically France and the UK. I mean, Poland as well, but if Poland says they are putting peacekeeping troops in Ukraine, Russia should either back off or assume war.
-
South Korean troops in Ukraine. (Ridiculous given their current chaos, but stranger things have happened in the last year).
Other than that, the russian frog has been very well boiled for 3 years. Even China has probably gone back to the drawing board on a taiwan invasion, and added a delay until 10 millions drones are available.
I do have concerns trump will pull the us back in europe, making the second item above possible if not likely. The first trump presidency shook us primacy in europe, and the second may see it start to unravel. If europe has to take russia alone, the us should consider china a personal problem from now on (as well as any other concerns not near europe), as no one will see value in going to war with a fair-weather ally.
Finland making active land claims to Russia (actively reoccupying disputed land with troops)
I can guarantee you that there is no territory the Finns would try to reclaim from Russia. The Continuation war pretty much sated any future thought to regain territory seized by the Soviet Union
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Finland won't make any claims. This much is certain.
The only way we would even consider restoring the stolen lands would be IF the Russian Federation falls and IF the initiative for reunification would come from the Karelian Republic.
I don't think so.
Primarily because there's not economic benefit in it for the ruling class.
Also, we've made the experience of the war in the middle east around 2000 where the USA couldn't even occupy a farmer's state for more than a couple years.
I don't think anybody realistically thinks they can take over another (big) country in this time.
Primarily because thereβs not economic benefit in it for the ruling class.
Our history of perpetual war seems to disprove this
Famously the same was said about WWI re the economic benefit.
You're not overexagerating, the property crisis in the imperial core is becoming so severe that there are only 2 solutions, either the people rebel against its ruling class or they side with them and engage in yet another settler project. In my honest opinion, the latter seems like the most probably outcome, its already very advanced in Palestine and its starting in Syria.
No
Could already be going. We didn't name them World War 1 and World War 2 until after they were over
Yeah, Iβd tend to agree. The war is digital and economic. Countries are hacking each otherβs infrastructure and commercial systems, mass propaganda and spying with troll farms, tiktok and even hardware. Plenty of fighting with sanctions, tariffs, bans of sales of technology.
Fighting for land right now is really unnecessary, however depending on how well humanity survives climate change Iβd expect to see some arguments going in to drilling and mining places like Greenland, the arctic and antarctic. China is already setting up shop in Antarctica.
We are also all tied together economically in so many different ways that a war between major powers would be economically devastating for everyone before the first shot is fired, particularly for the countries that ceded most of their production to other countries that might be hostile in war.
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No thanks. Appreciate the offer though, very kind of you.
please tell me that Iβm overexagurating
You're overexaggerating.
this person needs to tell us what about the "current situation" they think is so bad before we can assess how mentally diverse they are
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