this post was submitted on 28 Jan 2024
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Overestimate now, but I think that AI is going to be insane within like 5 years, given current investment trends
I find it very hard to believe that AI will ever get to the point of being able to solve novel problems without a fundamental change to the nature of "AI". LLMs are powerful, but ultimately they (and every other kind of "AI") are advanced pattern matching systems. Pattern matching is not capable of solving problems that haven't been solved before.
If they stick around, maybe. If it falls into a rut, then investors are going to pull out and we'll be in another AI winter.
Replace "AI" with "metaverse" or "Bitcoin". Same bullshit
Not really. Crypto is a pyramid scheme.