Wow, if they spending money on ballot curing, those internal Trump polls must have scared the crap out of them.
geekwithsoul
joined 1 year ago
Glad it found someone who needed it!
Yeah, these are popping up all over the place - all from different users with newly created accounts and no other post/comment history. Most definitively sus.
In addition to the point about Western mythologies dominating because of cultural exports, I think there is also the undercurrent of England's original mythologies having been "lost" and so the English were always fascinated by the mythologies of the Norse (due to being invaded) and by the Greeks and Romans (as previous "great" civilizations they aspired to be).
Combine that with America's obvious English influences and the influence of England as a colonizer around the world, and those mythologies gained a huge outsized influence.
I really enjoyed it. The cast was great, the writing was fun, and the production quality was really good. Not an "action" show by any means. It does solid service to the comic books and lore, but not a paint by numbers of an existing story.
I'd say yes, but he's so much of a narcissist and so self-obsessed, I doubt it would've occurred to him. Especially as back then he was 90% tech bro and 10% weird idea guy. Those values, of course, have since fully flipped.
I think that's sort of the point - if 2016 was our last "normal" election and early voting wasn't prognosticative of election results then, there's no hope it would be anything other than more variable and chaotic now.
The point wasn't about a "return to normal" or else he would be saying it was an indicator.
Yeah, that pretty much sums it up. There's no way to reconcile what he's saying with the video evidence.
Several citizens were permitted to run “test” ballots through machines assigned to their county, including Savage, who was spotted on camera folding the ballots into his pocket while confirming with an election official that they were “absolutely, totally real ballots.” Although they weren’t official ballots, the ballots did not say “fake” or “sample” and were being tracked and counted by the state.
That would be "ornithological" :)
Weirdly antagonistic tone and not sure when Silver pissed in your Wheaties, but you obviously have a hang up about him. No desire to go tit for tat, other than to say he's been more reliably accurate over time than anyone else when it comes to politics. It's like baseball - if you lifetime hit for .300, everyone is going to know your name.
Also, the whole point of the article is that early voting patterns are not indicative of final results. That's not polling analysis or data modeling, that's just historical fact. I don't think Silver is perfect, and he's got problematic issues, but on this point he's just pointing out the thing the media ignores because it gives them headlines galore for the last two weeks before the election.
2008
Silver's final 2008 presidential election forecast accurately predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states and the District of Columbia, missing only the prediction for Indiana.
2010
His 2010 congressional mid-term predictions were not as accurate as those made in 2008, but were still within the reported confidence interval. Silver predicted a Republican pickup of 54 seats in the House of Representatives; the GOP won 63 seats. Of the 37 gubernatorial races, FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted the winner of 36.[71]
2012
At the conclusion of that day, when Mitt Romney had conceded to Barack Obama, Silver's model had correctly predicted the winner of every one of the 50 states and the District of Columbia.[79][80] Silver, along with at least three[81] academic-based analysts—Drew Linzer,[82] Simon Jackman,[83] and Josh Putnam[84]—who also aggregated pollsfrom multiple pollsters—thus was not only broadly correct about the election outcome, but also specifically predicted the outcomes for the nine swing states.[85]
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver
I'd list others but I doubt you'd read it anyway
251
Inside the Company Helping America’s Biggest Health Insurers Deny Coverage for Treatments
(www.propublica.org)
1
Trump files extraordinary complaint claiming election meddling by UK Labour party
(www.theguardian.com)
view more: next ›
I've been thinking about this and wondering what happens if he dies from natural causes in office. The GOP infighting would be tremendous and without the cult of personality to hold the administration together, I'm not sure what would happen. Vance doesn't have what it takes, but with Peter Thiel backing him, it would essentially be a wackadoo billionaire being the power behind the throne.