this post was submitted on 20 Oct 2023
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So since the mass-exodus from Reddit we can see that the total amount of active users has gone down rather heavily: https://i.imgur.com/MeQok2F.png

This can seem a bit sad at a first glance. Where are we heading? But one has to remember that back during the summer many of us created several accounts to settle at an instance, there were also problems with spam-bots of various kinds.

So active users in itself is actually not that interesting. At least not the comparison with the peak. Instead we can watch the total amount of posts, how is that looking?

Well it's steadily going up actually: https://i.imgur.com/i3Vse7Y.png

Though the increase has gone down slightly. This number however is influenced by other parameters as well. There are several reposts bots and such that mass-post to different instances. But it's definitley a good tell it's not going down.

Another interesting factor is comments: https://imgur.com/hWT8xvF

The amount of comments per month has gone down, but not by all that much. A 10% decrease from the top or so. What's interesting here is that the decline has plateaued, which could indicate that the userbase has settled and become somewhat consistent. This is great news.

All in all, it seems like Lemmy has settled into a rather comfortable spot, with a decent amount of users, posts and comments. That is very slightly decreasing. Ideally we'd like to see this trend reverse, and perhaps that might happen naturally with due time when things have settled even more. For Lemmy I'd reckon the growth will look a bit like this. Whenever Reddit does something horrific (and it will happen more), we'll see a mass-exodus with more users over here. Then it'll decrease for a bit, settle and hopefully we can rinse and repeat. Anyway - that's some irrelevant thoughts from me on the subject.

Just wanted to post these rather good statistics!

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

~~Obviously, it's not total number of comments, but rather number of comments/month~~
Edit : it seems really odd that the number of comments would go down if that is the total number rather than a number by unit of time.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago (2 children)

There is absolutely no way that ~40k MAU users are generating 4.2M posts and 10M comments per month. That would give an average of 105 posts per month, per user.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago (1 children)

High expectations for a lurker 🤣

[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago

This whole analysis is embarrassingly wrong. Everything went down! MAU, rate of new posts and comments, active instances... they may stabilize a bit now but the decline is noticeable.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

I really don't know so I edited my (faulty?) comment. I was here 4 months and made 660 comments : so 165 comments/month

[–] [email protected] 3 points 11 months ago

And 165 comments/month is still not enough! For 10 million comments and 40k MAU, we'd need to have 250 comments/month per user on average.