this post was submitted on 27 May 2025
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Even when there are huge network effects like this you do occasionally see big shifts, usually when the incumbent screws up, or there's a competitor that is so much better that people want to switch anyway. For example SMS->BBM->WhatsApp, MySpace->Facebook->WhatsApp, Digg->Reddit, and of course Sourceforge->GitHub.
So I guess the deeper question is "why does everybody else still use GitHub?" and the answer is: