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Dutton is already testing Trump's campaign slogans (www.abc.net.au)

submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

15 comments fedilink hide all child comments

I hope the Australian public is better than to fall for this. Though I fear we collectively are no better than the USA... somehow Abbot and Morrison were both elected after all.

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[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 month ago (3 children)

If mainstream acceptance of progressive ideas collapses, Dutton will sweep in in a landslide not seen since Howard. And anecdotally it looks like it’s happening: the broad popular rejection of the Aboriginal recognition referendum suggests that there’s a mood of having had a gutful of progressive ideas. Which may be an illusion caused by Murdoch/Rinehart’s command of the media, but Albo having conceded on the issue and playing small-target I-can’t-believe-it’s-not-LNP politics isn’t helping.

Another thing to watch for: Greens support collapsing outside of the core, with them losing seats.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

Advance has already said they will be targeting the Greens this election, and given both parties opposed the "truth in political advertising" bill you can bet it's going to be a shitshow of misinfo.

[+] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

[deleted]

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

I wonder whether the October 7 Hamas attack on Israeli civilians, and the connection between Aboriginal and Palestinian causes, did quantifiable damage to the referendum results. Polls have shown that, outside of the inner-city left, Australians side more with Israel than Palestine, perhaps because both Australia and Israel are perceived as Western/vaguely American in a similar way. If so, the left’s rhetoric on Palestine may have doomed it, in the sense that “decolonisation” is associated with the black paragliders of Hamas and massacres of ravers at a doof.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

I wonder whether the October 7 Hamas attack on Israeli civilians, and the connection between Aboriginal and Palestinian causes, did quantifiable damage to the referendum results.

I don't think the crazy in Israel and Palestine had any bearing at all. In 2023, it was just more of the same back-and-forth the region has been under since the 1940s. Things escalated this year, but that's a different story.

The polls were pretty clearly pointing to a "No" vote well before October 2023. No surprises happened on the day.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

broad popular rejection of the Aboriginal recognition referendum suggests that there’s a mood of having had a gutful of progressive ideas.

I wouldn't use that as an indicator. From the outside it's progression and it's certainly textbook but we are fucking weird about indigenous rights. We'd vote in a puce-haired enby and pat ourselves on the back for being enlightened before even considering an Aboriginal PM