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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.

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wow. sensible (awful.systems)

submitted 5 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] HeckGazer 50 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Oh ez, that's only 17 orders of magnitude!

If we managed an optimistic pace of doubling every year that'd only take.... 40 years. The last few survivors on desert world can ask it if it was worth it

[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 months ago

Rather amusing prediction that despite the obscene amount of resources being spent on AI compute already, it's apparently reasonable to expect to spend 1,000,000x that in the "near future".

[–] [email protected] -1 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

~~Doubling every a year is a conservative estimate though.~~

~~Almost all technological progress has been exponential rather than linear. It would be bizar for ai not to do the same.~~

Edit: i think its going to be hyperbolic growth rather then exponential but thats a personal prediction.

[–] HeckGazer 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

I don't think you've understood what doubling every year means...

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

You’re right, i mixed up exponential growth with hyperbolic growth where the rate of growth itself increases exponentially.

Truly sorry for that

I still think we may see this kind of growth with ai but my Comment was in error and I've since changed it.