this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2023
6 points (61.5% liked)

Ask Lemmy

26858 readers
2065 users here now

A Fediverse community for open-ended, thought provoking questions

Please don't post about US Politics. If you need to do this, try [email protected]


Rules: (interactive)


1) Be nice and; have funDoxxing, trolling, sealioning, racism, and toxicity are not welcomed in AskLemmy. Remember what your mother said: if you can't say something nice, don't say anything at all. In addition, the site-wide Lemmy.world terms of service also apply here. Please familiarize yourself with them


2) All posts must end with a '?'This is sort of like Jeopardy. Please phrase all post titles in the form of a proper question ending with ?


3) No spamPlease do not flood the community with nonsense. Actual suspected spammers will be banned on site. No astroturfing.


4) NSFW is okay, within reasonJust remember to tag posts with either a content warning or a [NSFW] tag. Overtly sexual posts are not allowed, please direct them to either [email protected] or [email protected]. NSFW comments should be restricted to posts tagged [NSFW].


5) This is not a support community.
It is not a place for 'how do I?', type questions. If you have any questions regarding the site itself or would like to report a community, please direct them to Lemmy.world Support or email [email protected]. For other questions check our partnered communities list, or use the search function.


Reminder: The terms of service apply here too.

Partnered Communities:

Tech Support

No Stupid Questions

You Should Know

Reddit

Jokes

Ask Ouija


Logo design credit goes to: tubbadu


founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
6
@asklemmy (mastodon.social)
submitted 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
 

@asklemmy

Is it possible to set up a virtual sandbox environment of an exact copy of Earth's financial system and let an AI "handle it" for years?

Wonder what the outcome would be.

top 3 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I'm not sure what you're planning to discover by that. What makes modern finance (particularly stocks) so hard to manage is that it's very emotional. People invest based on what they believe in, and when they get scared they sell. Is the goal to anticipate this and see if the AI can replicate it exactly, or are you expecting it to do it better somehow? If it's the latter, it would be very hard to measure success, because you can't measure how the market would react without involving the market.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

@bus_factor there could some "if.. then.." commands here and there to spice things up.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

I think people try to make prediction models all the time, but if it really worked I feel like it would become quite obvious when someone basically never misses.

If it's just a matter of running a simulation to see how far they diverge, I'm not sure what kind of insights you could gain from that. I think it would be a bit like running a weather simulation for years. Very soon after (likely a matter of days), unpredictable events would fork reality from the simulation, and they would only diverge further.

To answer the question, it might be possible to set up an imperfect, incomplete simulation.