Am I supposed to panic because it's unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I'm out here wishing for death by meteor.
this post was submitted on 07 Feb 2025
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Yeah I'll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I'm gonna try to punch it back into orbit.
You don't have to thank me.
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Just in case this comment is not a joke, here's the WHO page on suicide prevention.
Either way, there are a few billion other people on this planet who would rather not die by meteor, thank you very much.
I mean, if I was going to go out, then getting my shit mixed by a meteor is pretty awesome. I'm sure I'll make it on to a few Buzzfeed articles over the next ten or twenty years.
All things considered though, it would indeed be nice if it landed somewhere inconsequential like the ocean; the desert; or Florida.
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Not to be a doomer but most of us will be dead by then I just hope the meteor takes out any lucky oligarchs still alive in a bunker.
You think "most of us" will be dead in .... 7 years? That's pretty doomer if you ask me.
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Panic?!
You mean throw a welcome party?
To people having panic attacks, it is not large enough to destroy the earth, and we would have plenty of time to evacuate the impact location. Though let's hope it isn't anywhere with permafrost.
You mean populate the impact zone because I'm going to watch
Yeah, my dogs will be gone by then so I would absolutely set up a tent close enough to catch it. I'd even bring a baseball glove for shits and giggles.
Aw, you think we'll still have permafrost by then.
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i don't like those odds. anything we can do to bump it up to around 75%-100%?
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I'm team asteroid.
Panic?
I'm crossing my fingers for the wellbeing of the universe. We're awful.
Worry not, for we are insignificant to the universe.
Right now.
Forever, humanity could only ever conceivably expand so far due to the expansion of the universe, so as far as we know a still insignificant portion of the universe we could colonize.
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I’ll only panic if it misses
Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide, large enough to cause localized devastation near the impact site. The asteroid responsible for the Tunguska event of 1908, which leveled some 500 square miles (1,287 square kilometers) of forest in remote Siberia, was probably about the same size.
So nothing to worry about
Provided it enters in a similarly uninhabited location.
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is there any way to hurry it along?
Can we launch a satellite at it, perhaps detonate a huge nuke on it to make that chance higher?
Wait, we could just detonate all those huge nukes here right now. Show that stupid asteroid.
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That's 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope...
I science podcast I follow already warned last week that the probability would go up at first as they narrow down its trajectory.
They gave the example of a fan closing, as it gets narrow, the earth represents a bigger percentage of the remaining fan. If you keep closing the fan the Earth eventually will fall outside the fan and the percentage drop to zero.
Unless it turns out that it is dead center.
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Jesus is coming back and he's pissed...
should I mention "don't look up" ?
that was Trump chances in 2016...
Those are better odds than the lottery. Has anyone set up a betting pool yet?
Okay so how big is this meteor then
It's around 1000 millimeteors
130 - 400 meters
Listed in the article:
Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide
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Is there any way to speed this up
Those are rookie numbers. Gotta pump those numbers up.
If we are able to nudge an asteroid, would an asteroid of this size nudge the earth?
Technically the solar system is a multi-body system, and everything nudges everything else, but the mass of the earth is far greater than the mass of the asteroid, to the point that it doesn't matter.
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