this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2025
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cross-posted from: https://lemm.ee/post/53805638

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[–] [email protected] 20 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Good. Nvidia has grown greedy and fat.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 day ago

Time to harvest its succulent body meat from within its carapace

[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Okay, cool...

So, how much longer before Nvidia stops slapping a "$500-600 RTX XX70" label on a $300 RTX XX60 product with each new generation?

The thinly-veiled 75-100% price increases aren't fun for those of us not constantly-touching-themselves over AI.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 2 days ago

After this they will stop and start slapping a $1000 label

[–] [email protected] 9 points 2 days ago

This has nothing to do with DeepSeek. The world has run out of flashy leather jackets for Jensen to wear, so nvidia is toast.

[–] [email protected] 72 points 2 days ago (31 children)

Okay seriously this technology still baffles me. Like its cool but why invest so much in an unknown like AIs future ? We could invest in people and education and end up with really smart people. For the cost of an education we could end up with smart people who contribute to the economy and society. Instead we are dumping billions into this shit.

[–] [email protected] 59 points 2 days ago (3 children)

Because rulling class got high on the promise that they could finally eliminate workers as a cost and be independent from us.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 days ago

For the cost of an education we could end up with smart people who contribute to the economy and society. Instead we are dumping billions into this shit.

Those are different "we"s.

[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

Tech/Wall St constantly needs something to hype in order to bring in “investor” money. The “new technology-> product development -> product -> IPO” pipeline is now “straight to pump-and-dump” (for example, see Crypto currency).

The excitement of the previous hype train (self-driving cars) is no longer bringing in starry-eyed “investors” willing to quickly part ways with OPM. “AI” made a big splash and Tech/Wall St is going to milk it for all they can lest they fall into the same bad economy as that one company that didn’t jam the letters “AI” into their investor summary.

Tech has laid off a lot of employees, which means they are aware there is nothing else exciting in the near horizon. They also know they have to flog “AI” like crazy before people figure out there’s no “there” there.

That “investors” scattered like frightened birds at the mere mention of a cheaper version means that they also know this is a bubble. Everyone wants the quick money. More importantly they don’t want to be the suckers left holding the bag.

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[–] [email protected] 26 points 2 days ago (1 children)

It's easier to sell people on the idea of a new technology or system that doesn't have any historical precedent. All you have to do is list the potential upsides.

Something like a school or a workplace training programme, those are known quantities. There's a whole bunch of historical and currently-existing projects anyone can look at to gauge the cost. Your pitch has to be somewhat realistic compared to those, or it's gonna sound really suspect.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

ROFL 🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣 eat shit, Huang

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago

i made some good money on that inevitable rebound. 30% gains in a day! thanks Huang

[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 days ago (29 children)

I'm so happy this happened. This is really a power move from China. The US was really riding the whole AI bubble. By "just" releasing a powerful open-source AI model they've fucked the not so open US AI companies. I'm not sure if this was planned from China or whether this is was really just a small company doing this because they wanted to, but either way this really damages the western economy. And its given western consumers a free alternative. A few million dollars invested (if we are to believe the cost figures) for a major disruption.

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (5 children)

Try asking DeepSeek something about Xi Jinping. "Sorry, it's beyond my current scope' :-) Wondering why even it cannot cite his official party biography :-)

[–] [email protected] 21 points 2 days ago (3 children)

For what it's worth, I wouldn't ask any chatbot about politics at all.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 day ago (1 children)

You wouldn't, because you are (presumably) knowledgeable about the current AI trend and somewhat aware of political biases of the creators of these products.

Many others would, because they think "wow, so this is a computer that talks to me like a human, it knows everything and can respond super fast to any question!"

The issue to me is (and has been for the past), the framing of what "artifical intelligence" is and how humans are going to use it. I'd like more people to be critical of where they get their information from and what kind of biases it might have.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

You wouldn’t, because you are (presumably) knowledgeable about the current AI trend and somewhat aware of political biases of the creators of these products.

Well, more because I'm knowledgeable enough about machine learning to know it's only as good as its dataset, and knowledgeable enough about mass media and the internet to know how atrocious 'common sense' often is. But yes, you're right about me speaking from a level of familiarity which I shouldn't consider typical.

People have been strangely trusting of chat bots since ELIZA in the 1960s. My country is lucky enough to teach a small amount of bias and media literacy skills through education and some of the state broadcaster's programs (it's not how it sounds, I swear!), and when I look over to places like large chunks of the US, I'm reminded that basic media literacy isn't even very common, let alone universal.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 days ago

This is the way.

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[–] [email protected] 19 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (10 children)

It's easy to mod the software to get rid of those censors

Part of why the US is so afraid is because anyone can download it and start modding it easily, and because the rich make less money

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago

The official hosting of it has censorship applied after the answer is generated, but from what I heard the locally run version has no censorship even though they could have theoretically trained it to.

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[–] [email protected] 9 points 2 days ago

Good. Let's keep this ball rolling.

[–] [email protected] 150 points 3 days ago (10 children)

Good. That shit is way overvalued.

There is no way that Nvidia are worth 3 times as much as TSMC, the company that makes all their shit and more besides.

I'm sure some of my market tracker funds will lose value, and they should, because they should never have been worth this much to start with.

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[–] [email protected] 249 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (7 children)

I really hope this is the beginning of a massive correction on AI hype.

[–] [email protected] 155 points 3 days ago (19 children)

It’s a reaction to thinking China has better AI, not thinking AI has less value.

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[–] [email protected] 35 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

I should really start looking into shorting stocks. I was looking at the news and Nvidia's stock and thought "huh, the stock hasn't reacted to these news at all yet, I should probably short this".

And then proceeded to do fuck all.

I guess this is why some people are rich and others are like me.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

It's been proven that people who do fuckall after throwing their money into mutual funds generally fare better than people actively monitoring and making stock moves.

You're probably fine.

I never bought NVIDIA in the first place so this news doesn't affect me.

If anything now would be a good time to buy NVIDIA. But I probably won't.

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[–] [email protected] 22 points 2 days ago

I've never been so happy to cancel a subscription.

[–] [email protected] 137 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (23 children)

Shovel vendors scrambling for solid ground as prospectors start to understand geology.

...that is, this isn't yet the end of the AI bubble. It's just the end of overvaluing hardware because efficiency increased on the software side, there's still a whole software-side bubble to contend with.

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[–] [email protected] 33 points 3 days ago (1 children)

What the fuck are markets when you can automate making money on them???

Ive been WTF about the stock market for a long time but now it's obviously a scam.

[–] [email protected] 46 points 2 days ago (1 children)

The stock market is nothing more than a barometer for the relative peace of mind of rich people.

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[–] [email protected] 69 points 3 days ago (42 children)

I think this prompted investors to ask "where's the ROI?".

Current AI investment hype isn't based on anything tangible. At least the amount of investment isn't, it is absurd to think that trillion dollars that was put in the space already, even before that Softbanks deal is going to be returned. The models still hallucinate as it is inherent to the architecture, we are nowhere near replacing the workers but we got chatbots that "when they work sometimes, then they are kind of good?" and mediocre off-putting pictures. Is there any value? Sure, it's not NFTs. But the correction might be brutal.

Interestingly enough, DeepSeek's model is released just before Q4 earning's call season, so we will see if it has a compounding effect with another statement from big players that they burned massive amount of compute and USD only to get milquetoast improvements and get owned by a small Chinese startup that allegedly can do all that for 5 mil.

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