this post was submitted on 18 Nov 2024
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[–] [email protected] 13 points 7 hours ago

Bluesky have two things over Mastodon:

-Money for a big marketing campaign, and reaching famous people.

-A better first comer UX.

First one is hard to solve. But UX in Mastodon should be solved. Local and federated feeds are useless, specially on the "default" .social instance. They need to find a way for new users to be able to see a relevant feed of toots and to have an easier time finding people they'd like to interact with.

It is a solvable problem, I hope someday it could be done.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

inb4 bluesky gets bought by Musk (or bezos) for a fantistillion dollars. And everyone doing a surprised pikachu face.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

That is the only likely future ahead. BS is growing so fast that there's no way they can sustain this growth even if they add ads. The only path forward is selling out. I think Microsoft might be interested in finally owning a popular social media site.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

Won't happen. Not necessarily the them not buying it part, but it staying popular at all. No site/program is too big for Microsoft to torpedo. Skype used to be the verb for voice calls before they got their hands on it.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 hours ago

I didn't say MS would make it successful. They would definitely buy it, add Minecraft to it, integrate teams, then forget they bought it, neglect it, and leave it more broken than when they found it.

[–] [email protected] 35 points 21 hours ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago)

Except this doesn't work like it should

/c/books

And therefore lemmy is broken, by design

And it will not work because lemmy's owner class wants to keep their fiefdoms to themselves unfortunately

[–] [email protected] 52 points 23 hours ago (2 children)

BlueSky is really just Twitter pretending to be Mastodon, but that's a minor issue compared to the problems associated with platforms like "X" and TikTok today.

What matters most right now is killing off Twitter and breaking up the dominance of any one platform on social media. I really don't care where people go as long as they get the fuck off of Twitter and TikTok. Mastodon and open platforms will eventually win out in a divided social media ecosystem anyway, in my opinion. Divide and conquer.

[–] [email protected] 29 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (3 children)

Mastodon and open platforms will eventually win out in a divided social media ecosystem anyway, in my opinion.

No they won't, Reddit killed Internet Forums, Threads has over 200 million active monthly users, and BlueSky already has double the number of users of Mastadon and is adding 10 new ones PER SECOND . Mastadon will be entirely irrelevant by the end of Q1 2025.

What we're watching right now is the exact same fight that the chat platforms had back in the early 2000s. AOL chat vs IRC vs Yahoo Chat vs Microsoft Messenger. That was temporarily addressed by using multi-service clients like Trillian...and then Facebook rolled in and squashed them all. BTW there are several multi-platform clients out there right now that will allow you to interact with Xitter, Threads, BlueSky, and Mastadon simultaneously just like the Trillian of old.

I've been around the Internet since the BBS days and I can't think of a single time where a de-centralized platform has out competed a centralized platform with "normal" users.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 8 hours ago

IRC was king for a while but then it rotted and nobody repaired it

[–] [email protected] 14 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

I’ve been around the Internet since the BBS days and I can’t think of a single time where a de-centralized platform has out competed a centralized platform with “normal” users.

I'm right there with you. I'd love to see the dream of the decentralized media return, but it's long-dead. The "Normal" user doesn't give a fuck about the benefits and even the moderate barrier to entry over some centralized platform is enough to keep them away.

Tech-minded people seem to often forget that even the most simplistic choices like "Choose an instance" is a big deal for people. The platform that's the most familiar, and easiest to use is going to be the one that wins, and, right now, that looks like it's Bluesky.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 hours ago

It's not even "chose an instance". This is what my journey has been:

  1. Chose an instance
  2. Write an essay about why you wanted that one 3 never her reply, repeat 1 and 2
  3. Get access, then instance goes offline. Repeat 1 and 2
  4. Get another instance. They then bock piracy communities. Repeat 1 and 2
  5. Land in lemm.ee.
  6. Wait until I can block instances to get rid of nuances (everybody knows who I'm talking about)

Now try to get your non tech friends on board.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

There's a lot you aren't taking into consideration, for example where those users are coming from.

  • Threads is just Instagram, it's essentially the same account, so its users were baked in from the start. How many of those Threads users are just people who already used Instagram?
  • BlueSky really isn't pulling users from Mastodon, it's pulling them from "X.com", which if nothing else represents a breaking up of old Twitter, which is good for decentralization in general. Any fracturing of social media is good for the fediverse.
  • Both Threads and BlueSky are, to some degree, copies of Mastodon in terms of their relationship with federation. Threads uses ActivityPub itself (a win for the fediverse, depending on how you look at it), and BlueSky has their own AT federation protocol, which shows that the ideas behind the fediverse are already winning out. It's entirely possible that, at some point in the future, BlueSky and Mastodon learn to speak to each other using one of those protocols (or a new one), and then the fediverse wins by default.
  • Fediverse apps like Misskey are apparently doing great in Japan, which is great for the existence of Japanese artists and the international side of things.

The fact that we're here, right now, discussing this on the fediverse, shows that ActivityPub has come a long way. Bluesky is nothing more than a shallow copy of Mastodon with far less federation and far fewer features.

Mastodon is a bit like Linux, due to its free and open nature. It can be in 3rd place for 20 years, but it'll keep chugging along, improving and growing over time until it snowballs into something truly formidable. Linux doesn't need to be the most popular operating system ecosystem to be great, nor does Mastodon need to be the most popular social media server. Unlike a corporate product it's not just going to die and disappear just because it isn't the most popular of the social media platforms.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 15 hours ago

Bluesky doesn’t even have to be Mastodon. It just has to Twitter before it went bad.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

I was never a big tweeter, but I find Bluesky to be friendlier in general, and I'm digging it :)

[–] [email protected] 1 points 16 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago)

I think a lot of the future of social media is going to be determined by ease of use/beginner-friendliness.

The issue (and strength) with Lemmy is there's multiple instances. You're not gonna be able to explain it to non-technical people, even as an experienced programmer myself I sometimes find myself getting confused by Lemmy. People don't want to learn, they just want to use something that works.

Then again, KBin only had the one instance pretty much I think, and yet that died out anyway. So I think part of it is people just want to go where everyone else is, and that did end up being Lemmy and not KBin (although the maintainer of KBin also refused outside contributions which helped seal its fate lol)

If Bluesky has the one instance, and you literally just go to bsky.app and sign up, that's going to be a lot easier than trying to sell people on Mastodon or Lemmy when they Google those. Then again, I just googled Mastodon and it took me right to Mastodon.social so maybe I am mistaken.

[–] [email protected] 40 points 1 day ago (1 children)

This shows how bad threads is.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 day ago

Threads is honestly terrible. There are these asinine little widgets on Instagram that show you threads that people have posted and don't show you the full one so you click see more and it brings you to the app store. But no one really uses it much, so you see a lot of things being posted with no interaction at all

[–] [email protected] 33 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I sincerely doubt 1 million regular people a day are leaving Twitter.

We’re watching bot accounts be created at scale in real time.

[–] [email protected] 59 points 1 day ago (3 children)

I think "leave" is doing some heavy lifting, but I could see plenty of people creating accounts as the site reaches a large enough user base to attract the general public.

I saw a video recently of somebody talking about how they were posting the same thing on Twitter and Bluesky, and despite having a fraction of the followers on Bluesky, the post there had like 6x the engagement compared to Twitter. As they put it, "The creatives have moved to Bluesky."

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 day ago

I've heard of people having similar experiences on Mastodon as well. Seems like these smaller communities of early adopters tend to simply be more active and pleasant to interact with.

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[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 day ago (1 children)

You underestimate the news cycle hitting regular folk who so far didn't know alternatives existed to twitter.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 18 hours ago

Yeah once the mainstream media started picking up Reddit stories, that’s when Reddit started going to shit.

[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 day ago (1 children)

3 more million needed for Mastodon, Threads and Blue Sky to beat Twitter.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 day ago (2 children)

How many does Threads have?

[–] [email protected] 33 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

So, you're asking what the thread count is?

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 day ago (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 6 points 20 hours ago (2 children)

Now you have everyone right of center on one Platform and everyone left of center on the other. Great ...

[–] [email protected] 16 points 20 hours ago

Exactly. They're abusive assoles. Fuck them. We're outa there.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

Why do people of different political leanings need to be in the same entertainmart platform?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 16 hours ago (2 children)

They're social platforms, not entertainment, and it's to prevent echo chambers

[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 hours ago

You want to prevent echo chambers? You have to stop allowing people to block others. Forcing people to see and interact with shit they don’t like prevents echo chambers. Allowing blocking just enforces echo chambers.

For the record, I’m not for disabling blocking. Algorithms are a whole other piece of that echo chamber puzzle.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

the right's echo chambers (X, Truth Social) seem to have done very well for their abilities to succeed as a movement

[–] [email protected] 1 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

Idk X has different problems in that area, it's not really a place for meaningful discussion, and it's often used by bad actors who just want to spread chaos, and with Elon at the helm I can't see X different way of doing things anyway

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 hours ago

it's not a place for meaningful discussion and yet, it seems to have helped them move their project along; I'm not necessarily pushing echo chambers as a positive, but it doesn't seem like they've really hurt rightists across the board in advancing their ideas

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 day ago (1 children)

And they're doing this...after the election too.

Brain lapses, people.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 23 hours ago

Yeah I don't know why it took people so fucking long to realize that being on Twitter does nothing other than help the oligarchs, but here we are...

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