this post was submitted on 13 Nov 2024
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[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 days ago

Until Open AI announces a new 5t model or something and then the hype refreshes

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 children)

It'll implode but there are much larger elephants in the room - geopolitical dumbassery and the suddenly transient nature of the CHIPS Act are two biggies.

Third, high flying growth, blue sky darlings, they're flaky. In a downturn growth is worth 0 fucking dollars, throw that shit in a dumpster and rotate into staples. People can push off a phone upgrade or new TV and cut down on subscriptions, but they'll always need Pampers.

The thing propping up AI and semis is an arms race between those high flying tech companies, so this whole thing is even more prone to imploding than tech itself, since a ton of revenue comes from tech. Sensitive sector supported by an already sensitive sector. House of cards with NVDA sitting right at the tippy top. Apple, Facebook, those kinds of companies, when they start trimming back it's over.

But, it's one of those things that is anyone's guess. When you think it's not even possible for everything to still have steam one of the big guys like TSMC posts some really delightful earnings and it gets another second wind, for the 29th time.

Definitely a house of cards tho, and suddenly a lot more precarious because suddenly nobody knows how policy will affect the industry or the market as a whole

They say shipping is the bellwhether of the economy and there's a lot of truth to that. I think semis are now the bellwhether of growth. Sit back and watch the change in the wind

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 days ago (1 children)

nvidia at least sells shovels, they already made some real profit unlike openai

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

True, but it's not a competition. When big tech tightens their belts NVDA starves to death

Edit: guess I forgot to point out the hyperbole. Nvidia obviously won't literally die

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 days ago (1 children)

The tech priests of Mars were right; death to abominable intelligence.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 days ago

That's a Space Grudgin'

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 days ago (6 children)

Seems to me the rationale is flawed. Even if it isn't strong or general AI, LLM based AI has found a lot of uses. I also don't recognize the claimed ignorance among people working with it, about the limitations of current AI models.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 days ago (7 children)

AI was 99% a fad. Besides OpenAI and Nvidia, none of the other corporations bullshitting about AI have made anything remotely useful using it.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Nvidia made money, but I've not seen OpenAI do anything useful, and they are not even profitable.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 days ago

ChatGPT is basically the best LLM of its kind. As for Nvidia I'm not talking about hardware I'm talking about all of the models it's trained to do everything from DLSS and ACE to creating virtual characters that can converse and respond naturally to a human being.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago

I'm shocked I tell you

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Crash? Doesn't it have to be moving at all to crash?

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago

supermicro's accountants have just resigned 🤭

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago

It's gonna crash like a self driving tesla. It's gonna fall apart like a cybertrukkk.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 days ago

🤷‍♂️ I only use local generators at this point,so I don't care.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 days ago

Great!! ....I don't what chatGPT to go anywhere, I use it every day and Google has become assss.

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