this post was submitted on 06 Jun 2024
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https://t.me/oko_gora/12025

๐Ÿ’ฉ Judging by satellite images for today, all ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet left the port of Novorossiysk.

The reasons for this decision of the Russian leadership and the route of the fleet are still unknown.

In the morning, part of the warships, as well as all the large landing ships, left Novorossiysk.


https://t.me/yigal_levin/67856?single

OSINT researcher HI Sutton reports that according to satellite surveillance data, ships leaving Novorossiysk in the morning (large landing ships and their escort) are moving in formation towards Crimea. Other ships, as previously reported, did indeed leave their berths, but the majority remained in Novorossiysk Bay.

@yigal_levin


https://t.me/Crimeanwind/60829

According to our source, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is currently conducting exercises.

Ships must be brought to their bases after 23:00.

We separate, the outcome is postponed for now.

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[โ€“] [email protected] 28 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Are they fleeing or are they preparing for an attack?

[โ€“] [email protected] 12 points 5 months ago (2 children)

I thought they don't have any cruise missile capable ships left there? What would they attack? I doubt they'd try a landing.

[โ€“] [email protected] 12 points 5 months ago (1 children)

I thought they don't have any [...] capable ships left there.

[โ€“] [email protected] 9 points 5 months ago

They have a few, along with about a half dozen cruise missile capable SSKs, but they are definitely starting to run out.

[โ€“] [email protected] 11 points 5 months ago

They just Station some 80mm mortars on the deck and shoot the coast for show.

[โ€“] [email protected] 17 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Interesting - Novorossiysk was the furthest (from Ukraine) military port in the Black sea, and the ships were there because it's harder to attack them there compared to Crimea. Where else could they hide, run away to Mediterranean? :)
Or am I missing something?

[โ€“] [email protected] 24 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

The best guess I've read is that they will use landing ships to restore ferry service across the Kerch Strait.

[โ€“] [email protected] 33 points 5 months ago (1 children)

That sounds like we're about to see a lot of new additions to the involuntary submarine club

[โ€“] [email protected] 7 points 5 months ago

One can only hope!

[โ€“] [email protected] 13 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Aren't russien military ships barred from crossing the Bosporus?

[โ€“] [email protected] 11 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Maybe they can leave, but not enter. Would be kind of funny if they'd abandon the black sea like that.

[โ€“] [email protected] 14 points 5 months ago (1 children)

It's up to Turkey. But according to international treaties they can absolutely forbid them from leaving, iirc

[โ€“] [email protected] 10 points 5 months ago

*unless it's to return to their home port, but then they also cannot reenter. I think that most of the non black-sea fleet got out before the war or just was not in there at all

[โ€“] [email protected] 8 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Turkey controls it, and Turkey does whatever they find useful that day. Right now, Russia sold out "allied" Armenia to Azerbaijan, and Turkey is a part of the regional muslim bloc. I have no idea of their agreements, but it's not like Turkey is anything close to being reliable partner to western countries

[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

Turkey isn't a reliable partner for anyone.

[โ€“] [email protected] 14 points 5 months ago

they still have ships? someone should get on that

[โ€“] [email protected] 7 points 5 months ago

Sink the blyats.

[โ€“] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago

This is a very dangerous exercise in the current drone environment. I guess this maybe an ECM test en force? If the cost-benefit analysis of risking that much tonnage has been met, russian logistics are hurting much, much worse than has been let on to.

[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

"Looks like meat's back on the menu, boys!"