this post was submitted on 19 Apr 2024
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If you want some sort of arms control agreement for AI, you're going to be faced with the problem of verification that countries are complying.
My guess is that that's probably very difficult to do. All you need is a datacenter somewhere and someone with expertise.
And if an arms control agreement doesn't exist, then a country not developing a promising technology just disadvantages that country.
And if an arms control agreement does exist, it’s just a trap for those naive enough to think such things work.
Putin got us to avoid prepping for a Ukraine invasion simply by repeating that he wasn’t going to invade. And right up until the very moment it happened, the dominant conversation still was not based on the premise that he was going to.
The whole concept of doublespeak works because humans have a powerful compulsion to simply believe what others say. Even if we know their actions and their words are in conflict, we have an extremely hard time following our observations of their actions, and ignoring their words.
It’s like the Stroop task, but with other humans’ behavior instead of ink colors.