this post was submitted on 16 Oct 2023
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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But why is it always Bayes?
Like is it just an excuse to turn off critical thinking by pretending everything's a probability problem with knowable probabilities?
... sorry for the uncertainty above, that was certainly (heh) very human of me. I just updated my priors beep boop. There is a .86748 probability that this is a significant contributing factor alongside Yud swooning.
I think you’ve got it right. It’s a convenient tool for rationalising ideas that they don’t want to sound irrational, without having to do the requisite critical thinking.
They use Bayes to launder their feels.