this post was submitted on 10 Aug 2023
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Not a conspiracy theory but the inevitable conclusion of a system left unchecked by regulation for too long. We have slowly rolled ourselves to the edge for decades yet have been able to maintain a very precarious balance, until a worldwide pandemic kicked the cart and set it rolling down the hill.
Did the entire planet have too much cash and an urge to spend it all at once? Yes. That only explains the flashpoint where prices exploded. Demand was at an unprecedented high from the world coming out of lock down at the same time that supply was at an all time low thanks to the pandemic. (There's a lot more to all of this of course, but there are going to be countless PhD thesis written about this macroeconomic clusterfuck and this isn't one of them.) So far, this all makes sense. Where things go sideways is when supply stabilizes, cost of goods sold start to go down, and yet prices continue to rise. Remember how the fed thought that information was going to be a short, temporary spike that didn't require intervention? This is why. They expected the system to autocorrect, but it didn't. Prices continue to rise. People have less money. Prices continue to rise. Interest rates skyrocket in an attempt to cool the economy. Prices continue to rise. Consumer spending slows but prices rise.
Corporations are literally geared towards maximizing profits. It's not a conspiracy if they are working as intended. The failure, IMHO, is in how we have chosen to manage our economy. Complete deregulation and a slew of other choices have brought us here. Not a conspiracy but also not as simple as "too much money" or "too much cheap credit". So, amending my original comment, yes it is in part inflation but it isn't just inflation.
PS: Credit card debt in the US surpassed $1T. We're running on literal borrowed time and every business around us is trying to find new and creative ways to squeeze every penny we don't have out of us, by design, without a check or a balance in sight.
It is specifically a conspiracy theory that there's a price-fixing cartel across the entire economy. You can give rhetoric about unchecked capitalism and all this, but the fact still remains that we're talking about hundreds to thousands of companies that would have to opt into this scheme (drawing the line fairly arbitrarily at "the ones that comprise most market share").
I raised this point already - individual corporations are incentivized to break with a price-fixing scheme because it increases market share. Consumers don't want to pay exorbitant prices if there's any alternative. Didn't hear a response.
You keep saying "across the entire economy" but not every sector of the economy was equally affected.
Also, there is good competition in some sectors (where it's easy and cheap to produce the product and the supply chain isn't very complicated) and definitely not others. Look at gas prices, which were involved in a lot of the inflation and its secondary effects. You can save a few cents here or there by shopping around, but otherwise the price is relatively similar (and relatively high) everywhere you look in an area.
In some sectors there's basically no competition at all. My Internet bill rose, do you think that's because of the money supply or because there's essentially no competition amongst telecom providers basically anywhere in the country?
A huge part of inflation is still rising rental rates. In my city about six companies own most of the large apartment buildings that people live in. Something tells me they'd have no problems raising rents between the six of them just because they easily can.
Company A raises prices and reports record quarterly profits. Company B is aware of this because both the price raising and quarterly profit report for Company A are public. Company B raises prices too so that they can get also get more profit. Company C either does the same thing, or there is no company C because rubber stamped mergers and acquisitions for decades have allowed a handful of companies to dominate every industry, sometimes multiple industries.
None of this is a conspiracy. It's Econ 101 level "how things work."
Econ 101 covers supply/demand curve, i.e., how markets create prices as an equilbrium between consumer/producer, and how a company arbitrarily spiking prices will cause them to lose market share because their customers don't want to pay more for the same thing.