this post was submitted on 10 Mar 2025
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[–] [email protected] 10 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

And it’s not like the tariffs were a bait and switch. Trump literally had them in his platform.

In fact, all the crap he’s been pulling was in his platform. He’s doing exactly what he promised he would do, and half the country was like, “Maybe this isn’t a good idea” and the other half enthusiastically voted him and then are shocked he’s doing exactly what he said he would do.

This is like the time the UK voted for Brexit and then became shocked when Brexit happened.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 hours ago (1 children)

In fact, all the crap he’s been pulling was in his platform.

Yes, and he was making similar attempts about everything he is doing now already in his first term. So these policies aren't new, and Americans voted for it.

This is like the time the UK voted for Brexit and then became shocked when Brexit happened.

Yes, but this is actually worse. Although Brexit cannot be reversed, and Trump's first term was somewhat reversed. The way USA is acting now, threatening every ally they have, very seriously undermining NATO, Europe, democracy and Ukraine, threatening to destroy economies of Canada and Mexico. This can never be forgotten. USA is not even considered an ally anymore in most places that used to be the strongest allies of USA.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 hour ago

Yup. Whoever is next, and hopefully that will be in January 2029 if not earlier, is not going to have anything like the same influence that previous presidents have had. They will be able to deescalate short-term issues and generally provide a lull in the storm, but Trump has exposed the fragility of US power, and his base proves that America is an unreliable partner, so getting anything significant done that might cross administrations is going to be so much harder. Even if the next president is not insane and is without any above-average level of evil (neither is guaranteed), then that only helps temporarily. Hell, even if there's some sea change in the electorate that makes democratic allies more optimistic, recovering from Trump 2 is going to mean the US looks inward for a time and there will be, if not a power vacuum, a serious low-pressure system that draws in disturbances.

Now, I'm not sad about the decline of American hegemony per se, but this is very much a "not like this" moment, and a slower unwinding would be better for stability. Our best case scenario here is that our allies understand the conflict inherent in the American ethos and work with us where practicable but also pursue the "strategic independence" we've been hearing about. I hope it's Europe that steps up and reasserts itself, because barring a very unlikely leveling of the international order, your other options are China bulldozing the world for the financial benefit of the party, or Putin throwing bodies (both at enemies and out of windows), cutting off fossil fuels, and threatening nuclear war every time he doesn't get his way.