this post was submitted on 25 Jan 2025
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The CIA believes COVID most likely originated from a lab but has low confidence in its own finding (apnews.com)
submitted 3 days ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 days ago

Yeah, but if you don't have enough evidence to prove something conclusively, but the limited evidence you DO have supports one particular theory, then it's fine to say that you have a preferred theory with low confidence. Occams razor is frequently applied in these situations in order to pave a way forward, knowing that it could be wrong. It's a matter of taking your best guess based on limited evidence.