Canberra

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For stuff related to Canberra and the surrounding region.

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ABC election analyst Antony Green says ACT Labor has won a seventh consecutive term in government (www.abc.net.au)

submitted 4 weeks ago by RarePossum to c/[email protected]

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Estimated Assembly build up is
10 Labour
10 Libs
3 Greens
1 IFC (Thomas Emmerson, seems to be left leaning)
1 Ind (Fiona Carrick, Nimby)

I'm not happy that greens lost three seats, but at the end of the day Lab/Greens coalition one so I'm okay

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (1 children)

That's pretty much what I was expecting; the Liberals getting enough seats for a majority would have been quite surprising so it was really a matter of how close Lab/Lib would get and who Labor has to negotiate with. I am not surprised that Labour's primary vote is middling considering it's been two decades in power, the fact that they still hold power is a real testament to how badly the Libs are received in this town.

The rise of independents is interesting, and I can't say I dislike a shift away from party based politics. How it turns out is obviously going to be more variable though - I will be curious to see if they retain their seats after a term.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

It's not massively surprising that Greens would be replaced with independents. They had the smaller primary vote share afaik, and Thomas Emmerson having Pococks support probably makes a difference.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 weeks ago

Yes, it makes sense that they'd be the first to lose seats to another non-major candidate. Another possible factor is that the Greens lost protest vote value due to being known as part of the incumbent government - that's going to attract less of the votes from people who want something different (but aren't going to vote for the Libs).