Machine Learning

I've only made it about half way through as of right now. Like I stated previously, I'm not an expert. But I still believe in my statement above. From what I can gather it takes extreme amounts of effort to even figure out how a neural network arrived at the conclusion it came up with. And that still seems like a backwards way of approaching it. You're starting at the end and working your way backwards. It's not a bad method. Just in my opinion I believe it's the wrong method.

If you compare this to something like a scientific theory it doesn't quite match up to the procedure. Things like gravity exist regardless of the formulas used to determine it. Because of this we were able to figure out the formulas required to calculate it. With neural network's we already know how they do what they do because we are the ones that programmed them, at least initially. I find it more analogous to solving for the velocity of an object falling over and over again. You already know the formula, so it's relatively easy. You just work your way backwards from the result. Sure we can add things like drag, friction, and terminal velocity to add more parameterization and make it more accurate. But even with something like this, the increase in accuracy slowly decreases while the processing power increases.

Basically what I'm trying to say is that I believe the "formula" is not quite correct. It's adjacent to what we are looking for. You can keep making the initial conditions as complicated as you want but eventually you will reach the realistic computational limitations of said conditions. If the initial conditions are not quite correct, you can only get it within a certain degree of accuracy before it starts to either diverge or plateau.

I'm not saying neural network's are wrong. I'm saying that we are making the wrong kinds of neural network's. Instead of forcing massive amounts of data into these things until we get the result we want, we should try and find more ideal initial conditions that are more equipped to solve the problems we are trying to solve. As I mentioned above the result doesn't matter when the method of solving has unnecessary, or even incorrect, steps involved in the processes.

I am a layman when it comes to neural networks and machine learning, as I stated above. But this is what I see whenever I hear about this kinda stuff. It just all seems so wasteful because we are so focused on the results. It feels like a confirmation bias when we see the results we were expecting so we ignore the underlying issues. If the "black box" is causing issues it seems entirely more likely that it was set up for failure. If you were calculating a theoretical pendulum and it starts doing 360 no scopes instead of going back and forth then the laws and conditions assigned to it were incorrect.

Edit: Added some stuff in case I explained my train if thought poorly.