SneerClub

989 readers

7 users here now

Hurling ordure at the TREACLES, especially those closely related to LessWrong.

AI-Industrial-Complex grift is fine as long as it sufficiently relates to the AI doom from the TREACLES. (Though TechTakes may be more suitable.)

This is sneer club, not debate club. Unless it's amusing debate.

[Especially don't debate the race scientists, if any sneak in - we ban and delete them as unsuitable for the server.]

founded 1 year ago

MODERATORS

[email protected]

We regret to inform you that Ray Kurzweil is back on his bullshit (www.theguardian.com)

submitted 5 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

141 comments fedilink hide all child comments

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments

[–] [email protected] 10 points 5 months ago (72 children)

@Varyk

Name ten.

[+] [email protected] -10 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (71 children)

Easy peasy:

Computers would beat humans at chess(happened in 1998)
Digital information explosion(The information on the internet rapidly becoming too much for the entire world to read)
Medicine becoming information technology(genomic, sequencing and crispr)
The inevitability of direct human computer interfacing (neuralink)
Life extension(cryonics/neuralink)
AI becoming a major industry(AI)
Computers built into eyeglasses(google glass)
Cpu processing speed explosion(Moore's law)
PCs would be able to answer questions wirelessly (search engines and the internet)
Exoskeletons render the disabled able (3d printable prosthetic limbs)

There are many, many more correct predictions by this guy

[–] [email protected] 20 points 5 months ago (6 children)

Sure, I'm not even going to verify this one since it's so low stakes.
This is ill-defined.
Again ill-defined, and I need dates on this, we've been sequencing DNA for like 50yrs at this point.
Lol, Neuralink kills monkeys, there's zero indication of its "inevitability".
Lol^2, none of that shit works mate. Name one person whose life was extended with cryonics.
AI is ill-defined, plus dates please.
And how well did that go?
First of all, that's called Moore's Law after the actual guy who made this prediction, you can't credit someone else than Moore for Moore's Law, wtf. Second, this hasn't held for at least a decade now; we've been focusing on completely different things than raw CPU speed to actually increase compute.
"Answer questions" there is a load-bearing term. Did he mean search engines? Is this deriberately vague?
I'm sorry? First, a 3D printed prosthetic is not an exoskeleton, what kind of a logic leap is that. Second, citation needed on "3D printable prosthetic limbs" actually being in use right now on any scale.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 5 months ago

"Computers will be really good at chess" was already a trope in 1960s science fiction. HAL 9000 is canonically so good that he was instructed to throw the game half the time so that his human opponents don't get bored. The Enterprise computer is so good that Spock being able to beat it — Spock — is a major plot point.

load more comments (5 replies)

load more comments (69 replies)