maketotaldestr0i

joined 1 year ago
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago

yeah secular cycles is great , particularly if you want a map of post fossil fuel future if we fumble the energy transition long term, the malthusianish cycles will start again. his blog is good too.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago (2 children)

yeah lol. i mean elizabeth warren is a vicious neoliberal authoritarian cunt but she has no political power or support. but bernie and aoc are both moderate principled politicians for the most part.

For a better take on what dalios saying better to read peter turchin and avoid the billionaire capitalist cockamamie version

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago

an extraordinary streak of 415 days above previous highs and we just crossed back to the previous year level

[–] [email protected] -3 points 4 months ago

So basically you are poopooing an article you didnt read because you got bothered by one decontextualized pull quote.

"The article might have been well-informed and factual, but starting with such an absurd premise, I couldn’t maintain interest long enough to find out."

why bother commenting if you haven't read it or even knowing if the "absurd premise" is even in fact a premise required to support the rest of the thing?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

To be fair , not once has the IEA been right about anything, its been kind of a running joke for decades.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

It boggles my mind how easy it is to tribally code an issue that should be completely uncontroversial in order to make it unsolvable. Everyone should agree that we shouldn't have every mother having pfas in their breast milk, but with a few thousand dollars and a PR firm you can make that an issue think its a good idea because their ideological enemy thinks the opposite.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Its like back when every official person said you cant register dirty from poppy seeds on food and all these people were busted for opiates and got convicted for it and then when it was finally independently tested it turns out you can fail from eating a couple poppy seed bagels

[–] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Looking at real estate across usa, in places that someone could conceivably want to live or be able to get a job, and so much of it is listed for prices that make no sense to me. By makes no sense i mean who can even qualify for these houses on 30 year loan? not 90% of the population. In canada multiply that 4X or more.

Canada is so fucked right now, its a giant bubble , the medical system is utterly broken, meth is epidemic, the homeless encampments are huge and growing , full of lunatics and druggies, people are paying $600 for a mattress in a basement with other random people paying for mattress in the same basement.

Also canada i noticed the grocery stores have really shitty meat and vegetables, often having mostly bare shelfs with some meat cuts that even the soviet union would consider dogfood. There is an oligopoly and lots of the different stores are under same umbrella i notice after going to multiple stores its all the same shit and same deficit

Down in texas heat records have been broken, tomato plants cant even survive the heat they literally cook to death.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago (1 children)

People fail to understand we are in fiscal dominance rather than monetary dominance now and interest rate increases wont throttle inflation. Interest rate increases can actually create inflation now because that money is printed and paid to bondholders who then use it in the actual economy therefore creating more money chasing the same amount of goods , therefore inflationary. this is like the 40s not the 70s.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

I doubt this shit even moves the needle any more than the general neoliberal greenwash bullshit. All the parties are pro-human growth and anti-nature if it comes to asking for sacrifice to standard of living for humans

[–] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago

tldr the bond market is about as distorted as soviet economy, this eventually meets reality

 

tldr : economic collapse can lower pollution and lead to less deaths

10
Wirth’s Law (www.techslang.com)
 

Abstract Abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios (ASRS) following catastrophic events, such as a nuclear war, a large volcanic eruption or an asteroid strike, could prompt global agricultural collapse. There are low-cost foods that could be made available in an ASRS: resilient foods. Nutritionally adequate combinations of these resilient foods are investigated for different stages of a scenario with an effective response, based on existing technology. While macro- and micronutrient requirements were overall met, some-potentially chronic-deficiencies were identified (e.g., vitamins D, E and K). Resilient sources of micronutrients for mitigating these and other potential deficiencies are presented. The results of this analysis suggest that no life-threatening micronutrient deficiencies or excesses would necessarily be present given preparation to deploy resilient foods and an effective response. Careful preparedness and planning-such as stock management and resilient food production ramp-up-is indispensable for an effective response that not only allows for fulfilling people's energy requirements, but also prevents severe malnutrition.

 

Abstract To safeguard against meat supply shortages during pandemics or other catastrophes, this study analyzed the potential to provide the average household’s entire protein consumption using either soybean production or distributed meat production at the household level in the U.S. with: (1) pasture-fed rabbits, (2) pellet and hay-fed rabbits, or (3) pellet-fed chickens. Only using the average backyard resources, soybean cultivation can provide 80–160% of household protein and 0–50% of a household’s protein needs can be provided by pasture-fed rabbits using only the yard grass as feed. If external supplementation of feed is available, raising 52 chickens while also harvesting the concomitant eggs or alternately 107 grain-fed rabbits can meet 100% of an average household’s protein requirements. These results show that resilience to future pandemics and challenges associated with growing meat demands can be incrementally addressed through backyard distributed protein production. Backyard production of chicken meat, eggs, and rabbit meat reduces the environmental costs of protein due to savings in production, transportation, and refrigeration of meat products and even more so with soybeans. Generally, distributed production of protein was found to be economically competitive with centralized production of meat if distributed labor costs were ignored.

 

[https://deliverypdf.ssrn.com/delivery.php?ID=924024068085091111024007028080126078018010057003010003004106085109024008064021017011126002010009009047042125099018122099076064005085066082003094067092124089103122084032007125007009002116071093123005025106017020066027015126118019076015119127025082090&EXT=pdf&INDEX=TRUE](relevant paper)

 

Most preindustrial states experienced recurrent waves of political collapse and internal warfare. One possible explanation of this pattern, the demographic-structural theory, suggests that population growth leads to state instability and breakdown, which in turn causes population decline. Mathematical models incorporating this mechanism predict sustained oscillations in demographic and political dynamics. Here I test these theoretical predictions with time-series data on population dynamics and sociopolitical instability in early modern England, the Han and Tang China, and the Roman Empire. Results suggest that population and instability are dynamically interrelated as predicted by the theory.

 

concise but detailed explanation of how Malthusian vise was only escaped via fossil fuels.

 

Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability

Published:13 November 2023 https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2022.0261

Abstract

The Anthropocene is characterized by accelerating change and global challenges of increasing complexity. Inspired by what some have called a polycrisis, we explore whether the human trajectory of increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system could become a form of trap for humanity. Based on an adaptation of the evolutionary traps concept to a global human context, we present results from a participatory mapping. We identify 14 traps and categorize them as either global, technology or structural traps. An assessment reveals that 12 traps (86%) could be in an advanced phase of trapping with high risk of hard-to-reverse lock-ins and growing risks of negative impacts on human well-being. Ten traps (71%) currently see growing trends in their indicators. Revealing the systemic nature of the polycrisis, we assess that Anthropocene traps often interact reinforcingly (45% of pairwise interactions), and rarely in a dampening fashion (3%). We end by discussing capacities that will be important for navigating these systemic challenges in pursuit of global sustainability. Doing so, we introduce evolvability as a unifying concept for such research between the sustainability and evolutionary sciences.

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