Hey, I study curves of climate change for decades now, and can tell you there is hope.
The world probably just passed peak global emissions - mainly due to China, which counts for a lot more than USA, whose emissions were falling anyway - that trend may slow down but not stop - as renewables are cheaper now.
China is manufacturing most renewable stuff now, but the science that drove the transition was led by europe and US, the work wasn't wasted.
Indeed, peak emissions is not peak concentration, and there's a lot of inertia in the deep ocean and ice-caps, so temperatures will keep rising during my lifetime, but peak temperature, at least below 2ºC, is foreseeable now, we are succeeding to bend those curves.
That wasn't the case when I lost hope, due to the gap between climate science and policy, back in late 1990s. But I’m still alive now, and glad of it, and would like to stay around longer to see how the future evolves, only wish I'd prepared better for later life, as it's a long path, not easy but challenges can be inspiring, no simple answers but the complexity is beautiful. Keep going.
benjhm
From the photos, it also appears that the "sun god" isn't strong enough to penetrate the seasonal smog (maybe that's what they're praying for?).
I'm aware of the racism issue, I even observed it myself in China, even many years ago.
But i've also seen similar problems in other corners of the world. Such cultural concepts can change slowly, as they did over here.
Anyway, I doubt this would dissuade people trying to connect what will become the world's main supply of surplus young labour, with the world's greatest demand for care-services, combined with spare apartments, money, and a milder climate. Not saying it’s good or bad, just trying to anticipate future changes.
Indeed that piece of evidence suggests it, but did CCP really want republicans in power? They are all authoritarians, but those can end up fighting each other, just starting with the trade war that has been promised.
article doesn't consider the agenda of the owner of X and its algorithms
That seems like a big change in one year. It may to some extent reflect delay, as on average chinese used to pair-up at a younger age than typical in europe, also maybe some feel old traditions aren't necessary to keep a stable family with children. But the article says, the core factors are economic. Even so, as they have built so many surplus apartments, the [real] prices must drop, I wonder how many years before they are trying to sell the chinese dream to migrants from Africa or elsewhere.
Bonne nouvelle enfin, mais anticipée, le déboisement suit la cycle politique
( et en cycle politique, le Brésil semble suivre les états unis avec un délais de deux ans ... ).
Ils ont aussi la motivation, que bcp de monde viendront le voir l'année prochain pour COP30 à Belem.
Pendant ce temps, l’Amazonie continue de brûler grace aux rétroactions climatiques, j'espère qu'on puisse rapporter les nuages.
Tell people they do something similar in Ireland (for all levels of government) - and there's an Irish election coming up in a couple of weeks so watch how some interesting counts unfold. Note how the system particularly favours some maverick independents.
Back in 2011, I with my young family took a local bus north from Mariana, which diverted through several villages including that one Bento Rodrigues just below the dam, soon to be washed away. Through gaps in the trees we could glimpse those huge orange lakes just behind earth dams - it was obvious even to a casual tourist that it was a disaster waiting to happen. But the bus was run by the mining company, like all services around there, I suppose that's why people didn't complain more.
By the way I was told Brazil didn't even make much from iron mines, as most of raw ore was exported to China, which got the real value.
Emissions grew in 2023, that's not the same as 'are now growing'. There is a good chance global CO2 emissions fall in 2024, mainly due to trends in China. Of course it takes time to gather data, but NS should be more careful with the headline.
The spinscore link has useful refs - but keeps mixing up CO2 emissions with "CO2 equivalents" including methane, landuse and minor gases. Methane rising is a big issue, but might potentially be turned around faster. Regarding landuse, deforestation was exacerbated last year by El Niño feedbacks - it's hard to separate the anthropogenic part of these fluxes.
Rather than simple headlines which encourage fatalistic doom, it's more useful to explain how some factors progress better than others. They are right to highlight growth in road transport and aviation (even if some growth still covid-rebound), although more effort still needed in all sectors.
Just updated, smooth process, looks cool.
Nowhere to be honest, due to discouraging geopolitical situation. We had a family project to (re-)learn together, but the lessons provided for my kids at school were poor quality, while at my age I doubt I'll ever get enough characters to stick, to enjoy interesting texts.Years ago gave a few lectures in chinese, about 二氧化碳，海洋 与气候，etc., but general vocabulary, cultural references, are harder than science.