AGM

This alone should be disqualifying in an election where the central issue facing the country is preservation of sovereignty and when we know foreign interference is a substantial concern. It's made even worse when considering that it's the movement supported by a segment of his base that is threatening Canadian sovereignty, and when we know that a segment of his base are would-be willing defectors.

The MP in my riding has also been responsive to my emails regarding this topic, but on a national level it feels there is no choice. Canadian politics are generally not much for foreign policy, but if ever there was a time to be supporting the system of international law that is meant to offer protection from the abuse of bigger powers, now is the time for Canada to be doing that out of both principle and self-interest. Hopefully the current break from the US can lead to more independence on the issue once the election is done, but that hope admittedly feels faint.

This is very disappointing.

Just looking in on X today (yes, it's a toxic dump, but also where to look to see what the MAGA movement is publicly astroturfing), and I see #AlbertaSeparation and #CarneyWinsSecessionBegins are trending.

I think this is plausibly part of the plan. There are secessionist fringe groups in Alberta that are on-board with MAGA and will collaborate in a secessionist movement, and that movement is likely to get serious right after the federal elections. It will begin with an astroturfed move to deny the legitimacy of the election and to push for Alberta to separate. Saskatchewan will likely be targeted in the same way.

The supporters will be fringe, but it will be pushed by American media like Fox, by X, by the Trump admin, and maybe by Danielle Smith. The goal will be to weaken and divide Canada. Maybe that leads to little green men crossing the border with support of local secessionist groups in future, once enough division has been fostered.

Carney has taken a professional tone in comments regarding the US so far, being matter of fact and non-confrontational while still having clear boundaries. That is a good approach for communications with the US.

That said, him being positive about the call doesn't change the reality of how the relationship is transformed. Canada still needs to adapt to the new reality and pivot the economy away from US-dependence.

I am hoping this is just for the election season, to sidestep potential conservative attacks of being too close to China. Canada should be expanding trade with the biggest partners available off both the Pacific and Atlantic coasts, not just one of them.