this post was submitted on 24 Nov 2023
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Experts believe the volcano could be ready to erupt because, while there were thousands of tremors happening in the week before last, since midnight on Monday, only 165 have been recorded.

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[–] stifle867 25 points 1 year ago (2 children)

They're reporting reduced seismic activity which tends to be a "calm before the storm" type moment. Stay safe Icelandic friends 🕊️

[–] [email protected] 16 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It's crazy that we have the tools to prepare for an eruption. Seems like not too long ago they could have been a complete surprise

[–] stifle867 12 points 1 year ago

I completely agree. I've noticed in my life time how far we've come in terms of our understanding of volcanology. There is still much to learn and hopefully we can get much better at predicting these kind of events.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

@stifle867 ohh boy, good luck out there
any accelerometers out there i can watch?

[–] stifle867 5 points 1 year ago

https://lavacentre.is/earthquakes/

Also there's a live stream on YouTube with various cameras.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It seems like from what I've seen they have evacuated the town and should be relatively safe if it does erupt. That being said it's a tragedy if it does erupt and they lose the town. They have already had pretty major infrastructure damage and would take a ton to restore the town if this passes. Lots of people have already lost their homes and I hope the best for them all.

[–] stifle867 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The biggest thing I took away from it was that even if there ends up being no eruption, the area would not be safe to return to. I'm guessing that's due to there being the long tail risk of a delayed eruption. An extremely difficult situation to be in when it's your home and community.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Yeah but that's a large percentage of Iceland if you consider the long term possibility of eruption in human terms. This town has already experienced massive earthquakes that have destroyed homes and infrastructure. It would take a huge amount of effort and money to fix an area that's unstable.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

It is a good thing that they are already gone. Look at that map - the town centre is maybe a kilometer from the area of the most likely eruption position, and also downhill from there.

If you want to buy a fully furnished house on the icelandic coast for cheap, now is the time! ;-)

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Wonder if this would impact all European flights again