I forget where I read this, but something like 15-30% of reddit users third-party apps. 19% dip sounds like some of that group continued using Reddit while a majority either stopped or found Lemmy/Kbin.
Reddit Migration
### About Community Tracking and helping #redditmigration to Kbin and the Fediverse. Say hello to the decentralized and open future. To see latest reeddit blackout info, see here: https://reddark.untone.uk/
Even though you've done some nice work here, I'm reluctant to take those figures, particularly the change percentages, at face value.
There are colossal numbers of bots submitting posts and comments which metrics like this can't identify, which dilutes the real numbers. Of course bots would not be able to post to private subs, but it's less clear how much of the remaining traffic is human and how much is bots posting to empty subreddits as per the dead internet theory.
yeah you can't distinguish between bots and humans. But like said in the post, currently the top100 commenting subs only take part in ~10% of the total comments. This would fit with the dead internet theory imo.
But it is also important to note that for this info the comments/day numbers come from two different sources, so it is hard to verify the validity.
The comment numbers of the top100 subreddits are from subredditstats.com, while the total is from the script used by blackout.photon-reddit.com
For subredditstats.com there is no way to see how the data is obtained/tracked.
But the blackout.photon site has its source code available. I just have not enough programming experience to tell if the comments/min number is obtained by a direct api call, or if it calculates the comment ID Delta between each call that it does (it calls the most recent comment each minute).
It would be interesting to see if subreddits that weren't part of the blackout increased in activity, meaning users who frequented the protest subreddits became more active in other subreddits
Most traffic probably moved to Askreddit. Sadly there is no snapshot from the 13th, since this one would have the data from the 12th. During that time the comments/day peaked to 144k.
Source: https://archive.is/Q2vk3