this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2023
277 points (94.8% liked)

Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

5205 readers
655 users here now

Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

Anti-science, inactivism, and unsupported conspiracy theories are not ok here.

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
all 50 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] [email protected] 54 points 1 year ago (1 children)

but....... biden signed more oil drilling contracts than trump did.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/12/06/biden-is-approving-more-oil-gas-drilling-permits-public-lands-than-trump-analysis-finds/

can it survive another bullshit neolib puppet? we need progressives, not corporate lib shills.

DISCLAIMER FOR THE PEOPLE THAT DON’T UNDERSTAND YOU CAN AND SHOULD CRITICIZE YOUR OWN PARTY WITHOUT SUPPORTING THE OTHER: I AM NOT A REPUBLICAN.

[–] [email protected] 37 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Can’t survive another Biden term either. It’s the planet or capitalism and the people in charge would rather kill us all than end capitalism.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 year ago (1 children)

What he's been able to do has been limited by the most conservative Democrat whose vote was needed to pass legislation.

Get a better congress along with a Biden reelection, and it puts us into the we-stand-a-chance range

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Correct me if I'm wrong but their military is a huge polluter, and I don't see that as being something either side would change due to the politics around fucking with the military, so it's even more of a problem on top of the already massive problem that is capitalism

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Biden has started going down the road of electricifying the military. But of course, slimming down the military is the kind of holy cow neither mainstream party would touch. We are seeing a quasi-worldwide military push anyway, which is unsurprising in the wider context of missing global climate action.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I was referring to burn pits that I've vaguely heard of, feel like they'd still be a pretty large problem

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

There's more important issues than burn pits tbh:

The Department of Defense uses 4,600,000,000 US gallons (1.7×1010 L) of fuel annually, an average of 12,600,000 US gallons (48,000,000 L) of fuel per day. A large Army division may use about 6,000 US gallons (23,000 L) per day. According to the 2005 CIA World Factbook, if it were a country, the DoD would rank 34th in the world in average daily oil use, coming in just behind Iraq and just ahead of Sweden.

Wikipedia

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

We don’t actually abandon our allies that often. Maybe only once a decade or so.

More of the problem comes from the US military being say the third largest consumer of desel in the US, coming in after only two railroads. While reducing fuel useage is important from a climate standpoint, it also comes with major tactical and strategic benefits given how much logistics it takes to ship fuel around the world to an active war zone where the enemy tends to like to blow up your fuel trucks and depos. Given the nature of 19year old drivers dealing with large truck fueled on someone else’s dime just hybrids that shut down the eingine when idle would probably save hundreds of millions in taxpayer money a month.

Aircraft fuel is a bit more of a trick, but while fuels make from atmospheric carbon are more expensive, compared to the cost of the planes and cost of maintaining thouse planes it’s not all that bad and could theoretically allow for some proformance benefits if they’re ever willing to give up on also being able to use traditional jet A in an emergency.

Politically while a strong military has traditionally been a bipartisan issue, and reducing fuel useage strengthens the military, nowadays the MAGA crowd is more concerned with screwing over any part of the military they perceive as “woke”. See also trying to ban trans people from it and the refusal to take care of any promotions until they ban service members from traveling to get abortions, becuse why would you not want your soldiers to be indisposed for a year or more after getting raped for a kid they don’t want.

In short, keep Republicans away from congress and the White House and things will probably sort themselves out in time. Keep Shell and BP away from DC and it will sort itself out far quicker.

[–] [email protected] 36 points 1 year ago (2 children)

As someone who isn't from that country, the climate can't survive more USA, who's running it doesn't seem to make much difference.

(Not that they're the only country causing this global disaster of course, just the one highlighted in this post)

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago

From another outsiders perspective the difference seems to be that the Democrats invest in green technologies, whereas the Republicans do not. Both support fossil fuels thou.

[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The climate is just not going to survive period. Democrats also don't have the will to do anything on this topic.

[–] [email protected] -4 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The climate will be fine, we however, are fucked.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Earth will be fine, it's a giant rock. The climate and anything alive is fucked

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Humans survive better than most animals. What do you think the world will look like if not even the apex species will survive?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I don't think anyone questions that humans will survive. It's just unlikely that the complex global supply chain that gives us complex tools like microchips etc will survive. And may be massive famine etc after just a few harvest failure, or after the grain can't go down the rivers to the sea any more. Naturally not for the very rich, you can probably buy a bag of rice at a price. It's not survival that's at stake, its civilization and all that.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I'm sure some bacteria and virus will survive the Venus like conditions for a short while

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 year ago (16 children)

My fellow Americans, Tuesday is an election day. Get off your asses and vote. I will be making a post Tuesday.

load more comments (16 replies)
[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The climate will be just fine (give or take a few tens of thousands of years). It's us and all complex organisms above a certain size that are fucked.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Can't make any assumptions one way or another. We're dealing with positive feedback loops, so even if humans all get Thanos-snapped out of existence RIGHT NOW putting a full stop to emissions, pollution, etc, the environment will continue to worsen on its own because of the downward spirals we've set into motion.

The question is how long those feedback loops can go until they're broken naturally; or if they even can be broken naturally.

We may well have set our planet on a warming path that ends with it being molten, or one that sheds our atmosphere into space.

So... things might fix themselves after we go extinct; or it'll get worse until even the most resilient of extremophiles can't carry on, and Earth becomes another lifeless rock floating in space.

/shrug

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

That's true. We couldve pulled a Venus, which would suck massive donkey balls.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

This is the correct answer