this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2024
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73
Dems see signs for optimism in gender gap in early vote (www.politico.com)
submitted 5 days ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
6 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

Across battlegrounds, there is a 10-point gender gap in early voting so far, according to a POLITICO analysis.

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[–] [email protected] 25 points 5 days ago (1 children)

A couple of keys:

“In some states women are actually exceeding their vote share from 2020, which is at this point shocking to me,” said Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart. “I never would have bet on that.”

And...

It’s also not clear that the increased turnout among women is uniformly beneficial for Democrats, given the significant numbers of Republican women who are showing up to early vote as well.

“We are seeing an increase in Republicans of all types, gender — men and women — voting. It’s just that women are still ahead and keeping pace,” said Michael McDonald, a professor at the University of Florida who tracks early voting data as part of his United States Election Project.

[–] [email protected] 30 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Anyone who is shocked that more women are coming out to vote this election compared to previous ones has not been paying attention.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Thats why I put up those quotes.

Yes more women, but also more "republican" women. Its not clear they'll break for Harris.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 5 days ago

I know a handful of "republican" women that are not voting the way their husbands want them to

[–] [email protected] 13 points 4 days ago

“We’re confident we’re going to win, and it’s not because we’re running away with it,” Harris campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon told reporters Tuesday.

Argggggh! Whatever your personal predictions are, do not say you're confident you're going to win. That's a great way to get marginal voters who might have not wanted to vote for Harris but thought it was necessary to stop Trump to reevaluate the choice. You can add all kinds of descriptors about how it's a close race and need to push hard to the very end, but if you say you're confident you're going to win, that's the part that people (and gossipy reporters) are going to take from it.

[–] [email protected] -4 points 5 days ago

Politico - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)Information for Politico:

Wiki: reliable - Politico is considered generally reliable for American politics. A small number of editors say that Politico is a biased source.

MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: High - United States of America

Search topics on Ground.Newshttps://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/29/gender-gap-early-voting-00186155
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