See 2020. The same result is quite likely. I don't care what any new organization or poll says. Don't care.
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The only thing missing from that picture is him holding the chain attached to Slave Leia.
“I don’t like people that get shot at.”
I'd say it's unlikely to change minds, but it could cause people to be even more forceful in their support and more likely to vote.
There are a number of conflicting polls but realize that they can't account for things like "enthusiasm gap" which definitely cuts in Trump's favor at the moment. That said, the newscycles have been so insane lately, who knows what the next 10 inflection points before the election will bring.
Isn't 2k voters a comically small sample to draw any results from? I hope it is true, but let's not get ahead of ourselves.
I think 2k is a bit larger than the average polls I've seen which are 400 to 1500 usually.
1000 is a solid sample size to start with, doubling that is better. But ultimately polls are flawed in the designers bias. How they frame questions matters and creates biases.
Still, if the poll is asking the same question over time, then you can track trends over time.
If it was me. I would stop my campaign out of respect for the family of the fallen.
Trump: "respect? That's that one song by the black lady right? insert racist ramble here"
That would be some sort of participation trophy.
He does poll much higher than Harris in some polls that show up on Fivethirtyeight but it hardly makes much sense to include those polls, imo.