this post was submitted on 18 May 2024
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Weather

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 months ago (1 children)

I long ago came to the conclusion that meteorologists in the Bay Area spin drunken money in a circle and then have them throw a dart at a weather board. But it seems like the field is getting worse in areas where things were traditionally easier to read. I suspect climate change plays apart, but IANAM.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

Mediterranean microclimates be like

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago

"Its 68°, and there's a 30% chance that it's already raining."

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 months ago

I hate that feeling when I check the weather forecast and there is no storms. The knowledge that meteorology is often imprecise hives me hope

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 months ago

most people don't understand that 60% chance of rain means theres a chance some rain will fall in some of the area indicated.

This is because 80% chance in 75% of an area =

.8 * .75 = .6

...60% chance of rain.