this post was submitted on 30 Dec 2023
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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[–] [email protected] 73 points 10 months ago (7 children)

Electrifying the trucks will not solve the problem. Batteries don't have the energy density to work for long haul trucks.

Zero emissions long haul freight is a solved problem. Electrified rail. It just needs to be built.

Governments are continuing to subsidize trucks instead of building the solution that already exists.

[–] [email protected] 41 points 10 months ago (1 children)

There is still last mile/miles concerns. Not every grocer can have a rail spur, but it can be serviced by a local fleet of electric trucks. The ultimate solution is a mix of various electrified transport.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Freight trolly has been a thing and is still used in some places. Between trains, freight trolly, and cargo bikes you could cover basically all urban use cases and most rural use cases.

Logistics predatss cars and trucks by quite a bit, the last hundred years has been an aboration masquerading as the norm. Those old solutions can be brought back.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I'm curious what you think the energy density needs to be for it to be viable and why? The way I see it energy density is a very minor factor for this equation but I'm curious to hear your explanation.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Are there any long haul electric trucks currently in widespread use? No, there really aren't. Batteries are the reason. If it were economically viable we would see long haul electric trucks. Major truck manufactures make electric trucks. Kennworth and Peterbilt, the two biggest truck manufactures in the united states have electric truck models, and they are only their short haul models. Battery electric trucks are fine for delivery vans, and last mile delivery applications. But long haul trucks do not work with batteries. If these truck makers thought long haul trucks were viable they would make them. They have the technology to do battery trucks.

The technology to do zero emission long haul overland freight already exists. Governments should spend money on that instead of praying that batteries eventually become good enough to maintain the status quo.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I like trains and I'm not American. You brought up energy density as the factor preventing long haul. Please don't appeal to authority as the argument but rather state what you think the energy density needs to be and why to make electric long haul viable.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The specific energy of batteries are currently an order of magnitude less than diesel. This is not a problem that is going to be solved by a slightly improved battery. The weight of batteries needed to carry long haul cargo makes it a non-starter.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

This is also true for cars, but electric cars are viable even though its the same comparison between energy density. Would you be willing to have this conversation with actual calculations and specified arguments regarding the numbers?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I'll do the calculations if you pay my consultancy fee.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago

How about we both do the calculations and we cancel each others consultant fees?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago

The energy density isn't a problem. Problem is fine dust.

[–] [email protected] -4 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

You want hydrogen trucks for this. It actually has the energy density needed.