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Not really. Here's some statistics from reddit itself.
If you even have minimal activity, according to reddit recap you'll be in the top 1% of reddit users for that year. With that one can conclude that reddits true userbase, can not exceed 5 million.
Reddit in its usercount counts all accounts, including banned ones that have long been replaced by ban evasion accounts. This and the sites old age leads to grossly inflated numbers.
Want even more damning numbers for reddit? Well the maximum participation for r/Place (read, everyone who even as much as viewed the event. Not even participating.) Was 1.9 million. Considering how intensly it was promoted it is likely people would have clicked on the giant banner notification. That means out of the less than 5 million active users, 3.1 million didn't even glance at the giant event that has been promoted with massive popups, banners and shiny symbols over the reddit page.
1.9 million users is still one hell of a userbase more than lemmy will ever see maybe if some major events happen such as reddits rules getting stricter or mods getting more heavy on the ban hammer then we may see some more users join lemmy
I think you're selling freedom short, yeah convenience and momentum are hard to beat but Lemmy is where the open source Devs are and the first adopters, I think we're gonna go see a lot of interesting things emerge here which will draw a lot of users into trying it out - especially if all the other social media sites are closing their doors to people without accounts from viewing information.
What Lemmy needs is it's own version of place, not the same thing but things that are fun and novel and community building. The basic stuff is still getting finalized but as things get established we'll see plenty of tools made to help moderation, to enable new features and useful ways of interacting with information. Hopefully some fun games and toys too.
I've got a lot of work to do on my main project at the moment but I've also got a lot of ideas for Lemmy stuff I want to play with when I've got the time, I'm sure theres a lot of other people cooking up ideas and watching things develop and stabilize waiting for the right time.
We actually already did! [email protected]
I'd love to see some similar community projects.
Maybe it's worth moving to a bigger instance. I could see something like this gaining a large amount of momentum if it visible to a larger audience