Enough Musk Spam
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The only reason I think they might start is that Gwen Shotwell is doing a pretty good job keeping him away from anything important at SpaceX. But I can't help but notice that even though SpaceX is taking people into orbit, he doesn't seem to volunteer. You'd think he would want to know what weightlessness is like if he's planning on getting his ass to Mars.
The technological hurdles that have to be cleared to send a manned mission to Mars are not currently surmountable by any institution, government or private, on the planet. We're not even talking about colonizing here, just sending humans to Mars at all is currently fantasy with any technology that anybody on the planet has.
SpaceX will be bankrupted by the antics of Space Karen (a.k.a. Apartheid Edgelord) long before the first manned mission of any size makes it to Mars.