this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2023
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Its predecessor collapsed because of various factors. It doesn't have to be a special military operation.
That's true, I was more going off the original phrase's meaning: "Carthago delenda est" translates to "Carthage must be destroyed", and I didn't take a reference to it mean eg. an implosion like with the Soviet union but an active destruction by someone
I think it'll be a bit of both. The USSR collapse was partly due to economic factors caused outside itself. Russia relies on exporting resources to support itself economically. Even China might see the advantage in the dissolution of the federation allowing it to enhance influence in regional republics in the East. Russia is not self-sufficient in many aspects and sanctions are gradually squeezing.