this post was submitted on 26 Jun 2023
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Honestly, I'm still thinking this is some next level of maskirovka to reposition Wagner in Belarus for an attack.
People are rejoicing too much while we have no fucking idea what is really going as of now.
Most of this circus does not make much sense. I am waiting for more details to make judgement.
Your theory makes more sense than the narrative.
This has felt, and continues to feel, like a Game of Thrones episode.
I'm just not sure which set of seasons, yet.
Please don't let it have a completely unecessary Ed Sheeran cameo.
Obligatory mention that James Blunt had a key role in the Ballan events destroying Russia's international clout after the USSR fell in the 90s.
Please do elaborate on that one...
Not quite, but would've.
His general refused an order from another general to fire on Russians, believing it would start ww3.
Blunt claims he would've refused the order too as a captain in the British army, if it hadn't already been refused higher up in the chain of command
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/singer-james-blunt-prevent-world-war-iii/
Yeah I only knew he was a tank commander there, that's "key role" enough for me.
The problem with the line of thinking that this is some sort of deception or a trap, is that none of what is happening here is working towards anything. You simply can't do surprise troop movements in the age of GEOINT, nor are intelligence agencies so single-minded you could "distract" them with a fake coup, nor does this have any effect on the current Ukrainian offensive. The supposed trap is missing the "trap" part.
An interesting thought for sure!
Reporting from Ukraine covered this yesterday: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sZu3Yw4EwKQ&t=16s until minute 3.
The most convincing counter-argument for me was the loss of 7 russian aircraft plus pilots in the turmoil.