this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2023
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Do we think conscription will be brought back if they continue not being able to find people desperate enough to join? I think it's disgusting recruiters are allowed near and in public schools.
No. We don't want conscripted soldiers. We have proven that a volunteer military will stomp a conscripted military into the dirt. See Wagner VS US in Syria ç 2017-2018
The militaries argument is that a peer-to-peer conflict with say China would result in millions of casualties within months that would have to be replenished. You can't replenish those with volunteers.
Still, it's highly highly unlikely that will ever happen.
Yeah, I'm not saying they absolutely wouldn't ever use the draft again, I'm saying that is the weapon of last resort. Professional soldiers just do the job better than conscripts.
In such a scenario, yeah we may have to institute the draft again, but as you said, I find an all out war unlikely.
The US military has more than enough people signing up willingly. The only way conscription would ever possibly get restarted is if the US was in a conflict where hundreds of thousands of soldiers were being lost. I honestly don’t even think it would be necessary then either, because the US is a giant war cult, so people would be lining up left and right to “serve their country.”
Perception can diverge from reality. Russians were expected line up for conscription. Biggest line I know is accountants' line who want to sell their male workers(and female doctors) for 300 000₽(3k$) in bulk.
I see what you’re saying, but 9/11 resulted in the largest enlistment surge ever.
They are already laying the groundwork to bring it back.