this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2023
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To be fair, one of the reasons Azerbaijan's able to be so agressive, is because the EU buys so much energy from them. Azerbaijan is arguably consolidating its position ahead of talks in Spain next month, so it can present the take-over as a fait accompli. They know the EU isn't able to go beyond a strongly worded condemnation. Beggars can't be choosers.
Of course, the reason the EU is forced to rely on Azerbaijan, is because Russia invaded Ukraine.
The reason Azerbaijan was able to invade Nagorno-Karabakh,and why Russian soldiers who are supposed to be preventing this kind of thing did nothing, is because Russia is too busy in Ukraine.
If Russia hadn't invaded Ukraine, Azerbaijan would likely have been more cautious.
Good point. Also China selling them weapons.
russia also wants a good relationship with turkey(and azerbaijan too) so they arent so concerned about the "peacekeeping".
Of course, if Russia hadn't invaded Ukraine, they'd probably be able to take a harder line on Turkey. But they're too weak to antagonize Turkey.
Surely the EU would have been unlikely to intervene or protest beforehand anyway, though? No EU country has ever recognised Artsakh as the legitimate government of Nagorno-Karabakh, to my knowledge. Their official position has been that it's part of Azerbaijan since the first conflict thirty plus years ago