this post was submitted on 12 Sep 2023
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It is possible to estimate?

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

If I was spez that's not what would concern me.

Previously Reddit was the be all and end all. Sure there was alternatives for subreddits like car forums or star trek but a generic Reddit alternative no. The goal was then to increase users from something like Facebook, increase the time on the website and maximum revenue. Maybe alternatives were tried and they failed. It was almost impossible to reach that critical mass and the websites died.

This time feels different. The number of users Reddit lost is meaningless. But the number of users the alternative gained is significantly.

If lemmy keeps growing to become an actual competitor to Reddit that changes the game entirely.

The question isn't how many users did Reddit lose it is did lemmy hit that equilibrium point to keep organic grown. It's like an exponential. If lemmy wins the way Facebook beat MySpace is not about going from half the users to 100%. It's about going from <1% to 5% or even from 0.1% to 1% whatever that mass is. Getting from 1 to 100,000 will take longer than 100,000 to 1,000,000,000