this post was submitted on 17 Aug 2023
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Distributions include the Linux kernel and supporting system software and libraries, many of which are provided by the GNU Project. Many Linux distributions use the word "Linux" in their name, but the Free Software Foundation uses the name GNU/Linux to emphasize the importance of GNU software, causing some controversy.

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Long story short, this year is my exam preparation year and due to my nature I will take extreme measures to prevent distraction and focus on studying. I will decommision my PC, stop browsing Linux & tech related websites and leave this beautiful place called Lemmy. To make things clear, I am not influenced by anyone for doing this.

I want to use this post as a time capsule to revisit after 10 months, so I will write my predictions and also collect everyone's. What do you expect to see in Linux and tech scene in 10 months from now? Here are my predictions:

  • Pop OS 24.04 will be awesome and be the go-to recommendation when it is released
  • SteamOS for PCs will not be released yet
  • Linux market share will be around %2-2.5 in Steam hardware survey
  • Plasma 6 will be released around January and will be a bit buggy, but most rough edges will be smoothed by the next release in 3-4 months
  • NVK will have performance parity with official drivers in certain configurations
  • Wayland will gain wider adoption, even on Nvidia
  • There will be little to no progress in compatibility with current anti-cheat blocked games

Side note:

  • Web environment integrity will be adopted only in education industry because it is dominated by Chromebooks at least in US. It will not be adopted by streaming services because highest level of DRM is only available on Edge and Safari. Even if Chrome had WEI support it would be meaningless because Netflix will stream 720p / 1080p anyways. MSFT and Apple will not implement WEI in their browsers in order to preserve the end-to-end control they have currently. Banks will also not implement WEI because they may be still serving customers using legacy (Windows 7) technology or simply using Firefox.
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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I have a System76 laptop, but I don't like Pop!_OS. Maybe it's just because I don't like GNOME.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Probably. It's just gnome with a theme and some extensions.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (3 children)

GNOME 2 was great. So great that it lives on today as MATE. But I just can't get used to current GNOME at all and can't understand why KDE Plasma isn't popular.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

What do you mean it isn't popular? I was under the impression that KDE was roughly as used as GNOME, maybe a little less since it's not the default in as many distros. As for why current GNOME is popular, my guess it's mostly momentum (since GNOME was already popular) but it being a very clean and polished desktop probably helps as well.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

It always seems like for the last decade or so, Linux fans have been all about GNOME or the tiling window managers. There aren't really any distros I'm aware of other than KDE Neon that ship KDE as the default anymore, and some of the most popular distros, like Mint and Pop!_OS, don't even offer a KDE flavor at all.

GNOME just didn't feel right to me at all since GNOME 3. I can't get used to it.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

I like the dash in gnome and don’t like the bar in plasma

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

It's just that the majority prefers a certain style. Gnome 3 has big borders, spacy frames etc. If you hate that, you are not going to enjoy it. :)

KDE also, same modern style.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

My issue with GNOME is that it seems like it's trying to be a weird hybrid of a tablet and desktop interface, and you have to install all these extensions if you want to change any of it.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Isn't cosmic going to be its own DE separate from gnome?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

Yep cosmic is it's own thing. They have Wayland support etc now, it's going really quickly. I think we will see some betas before end of year.