this post was submitted on 23 Feb 2025
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They were polling at 20% in 2022 already, before he even bought Twitter. They gained basically no new votes in the last two years. Some hopium: 20% might be the highest percentage of people willing to vote for them.
The ~20% might be their ceiling. But depending on how much the conservatives and others fuck up, 30% are in the cards in the future.
They have popular positions and have a solid established voter base.
Do you remember when people thought Trump had a ceiling?
Yes, but he still only managed to collect around 9% more of the total number of votes compared to 2016. Granted, that may be a lot in a two-party system, but it works differently when you have over a dozen to choose from. The parties are always much closer to cannibalizing each other.