this post was submitted on 18 Dec 2024
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Summary

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy asserted that no world leader has the right to negotiate with Russian President Vladimir Putin on behalf of Ukraine.

Speaking to Le Parisien readers, Zelenskyy emphasized that Ukraine alone determines its future and any dialogue with Russia must follow a peace plan based on strength and international support.

He warned against negotiating without clear guarantees of security, highlighting the risks of Putin resuming aggression after a ceasefire.

Zelenskyy called for a strategy ensuring Ukraine's long-term stability and security, beyond NATO or EU membership timelines.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 16 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago) (1 children)

Some might not notice a change in the economy, but they will notice that their sons are being taken and that they are not coming back.

Approximately 1 in 1000 Russian males have now been killed. How many more will have to die for the average Russian to say "no more" is a tough question.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 hours ago (1 children)

That statistic sounds off. 1 in 100?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

I used a population of 143,000,000 divided by an estimated death toll in Ukraine of 70,000 and assumed half of the russian population is female.

1 in 100 might be correct if you only consider men of a fighting age.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 hour ago

Holy shit, I haven't looked at the numbers in a while, but

  • Russian population: 140 000 000
  • Male population: 70 000 000
  • Male fighting age population (18 - 60 years): Very approximately 50 000 000 (I honestly just made up a number a bit smaller than 70)
  • Documented KIA: 85 000
  • Projected actual KIA: 170 000 (Note: Prigozin claimed 120 000 KIA in June 2023)
  • Projected number of severely wounded: Roughly 500 000

Result:

  • Roughly 0.34 % fighting age men killed
  • Roughly 1 % of fighting age men severely wounded

This has to be getting close to a point where most Russians know someone personally that has been killed or severely wounded in the war...