this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2024
10 points (100.0% liked)
Political Memes
5510 readers
1916 users here now
Welcome to politcal memes!
These are our rules:
Be civil
Jokes are okay, but don’t intentionally harass or disturb any member of our community. Sexism, racism and bigotry are not allowed. Good faith argumentation only. No posts discouraging people to vote or shaming people for voting.
No misinformation
Don’t post any intentional misinformation. When asked by mods, provide sources for any claims you make.
Posts should be memes
Random pictures do not qualify as memes. Relevance to politics is required.
No bots, spam or self-promotion
Follow instance rules, ask for your bot to be allowed on this community.
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
This is an opinion only. I wanted to preface it that way because I realized how much it sounded like I had inside knowledge. I do not. I'm a drunk, ignorant redneck.
I wouldn't put it past them, but those polls shouldn't move the needle very far at places like the silver bulletin or 538 because they weigh based on how trustworthy the polls are. Reputable polls aren't getting bought and fake polls may hit news articles but don't really hit forecasts very hard.
I've watched 538 since they came back online. There was a point where Kamala had greater than a 60 in 100 chance to win. Right now it's about as low as it has been with her up 53 to 46.
We're halfway through October so I have no idea if we're getting a surprise. I'd like to see something that tilts things blue.