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I disagree. Harris is basically polling within the margin of error of Biden, that's true, but she's also been the incredible invisible woman basically forever. It's to the point that really the best the republicans can do against her atm is ads that amount to "LOOK AT HER LAUGHING >:{". There's good and bad there, but the positives outweigh the negatives in that she's something of a known quantity at the national level, she's got experience in the executive branch, and she really doesn't have much baggage to speak of while still being able to claim Biden's wins. If the democrats lean in behind Harris, get her polished up and just re-tool the Biden campaign for her, and she goes swinging out of the gate, I think she'll make for a strong contender.
I'm going off the week 1 polls. She was weaker than everyone else when adjusted for name recognition and was the only one within the margins of Biden. I also don't disagree on the base point, but there's 3 months, the war machine needs time to spool up and the Republicans have had a 2 week headstart. It's gonna be tight and Pensyllvania is not going well