this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2024
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Europe

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[โ€“] Gobbel2000 34 points 5 months ago (1 children)

I would love for the UK to rejoin the EU, but the survey results mentioned in the article don't really support the claim that there is a general desire to do so. A shift from 52% against to 52% in favor of EU membership is really not that significant.

[โ€“] [email protected] 26 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (2 children)
[โ€“] [email protected] 10 points 5 months ago (2 children)

There has been no change for 1.5 years now, what trend? The 1.5 years where it changed a little(!) prior?

[โ€“] [email protected] 9 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

The fact that in 1.5 years there was no change IS a trend.

And notice the overall change after merely 3 years.

[โ€“] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago (1 children)

the trend between 3 years ago and now. also, don't forget to combine that knowledge with my point 2.

[โ€“] [email protected] -2 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Why specifically 3 years? Any other time frame will not support your argument? There is no trend on either direction currently, has not been for 1.5 years.

[โ€“] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Brexit happened at the end of January of 2020, so 3 years is really the only viable amount of time to consider {since this year isn't over to be considered).

[โ€“] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago (1 children)

This is not a "will the UK try to rejoin one day" trend, this is a brexit regret trend.

The people responding "rejoin" to these polls probably imagine that EU accession will be done on the previous terms. If you did the same graph but made it clear to pollees that rejoining would entail a switch to the Euro and many more legislative constraints, it would almost certainly read overwhelmingly "Stay out".