I recall the polls by mainstream media saying that Trump stands no chance just before he became POTUS.
this post was submitted on 17 Aug 2023
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538.com gave him a 25% chance of winning. His win was a horrible shock, but it shouldn't have been a surprise.
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Polls are pointless. Haven’t we learned anything for this nonsense?
While this is very heartening to read, here's some fun American political numbers games for you :
Population of North Dakota: 780 Thousand souls
Population of California: 40 Million souls
both North Dakota and California are entitled to exactly 2 Senators each to represent their interests equally
As we've seen in plenty of Presidential elections since 2000 it matter where the votes are cast, and in what concentration, opposed to how many overall votes got towards any particular Presidential candidate
Research the bullshit the oligarchy pulled to get ND to be made a state. They had to rewrite a shit load of laws and ended up with, I think, 10 new senators rather than the two they should have gotten for the Dakota territory.
That fuckery is still all the way up our ass to this day.
How many of them actually vote?
Does not matter. Those remaining 36% are located in strategic places to make up for majority of the land mass - aka electoral college - to bring back Cheeto
National polls have little value since that isn't how President is Voted for. You need by State weighted by Electoral Votes.